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Where Australia's electricity comes from
This widget is updated every couple of minutes and shows why Australia is such a huge GHG emitter.
Looking at 2400
In the year 2400 a survival craft which has 400 different males and females picked for the genetic make up from earth in 2100 have come back and are being woken up from the cryogenic situation they were in.
What do they face?
What do they face?
Comments
Assuming there are people here already, then I think the 400 will face a very different world to that of today and quite different to their world of 2100. Trade and commerce will be underpinned by renewable energy. There will be remnants of the "food wars" and "water wars", deserts where wine grapes used to grow, no sea ice in the Arctic, many of the coastal settlements of today will be under water, some parts of the world will be covered in jungle and too hot to survive, while people will be farming in other parts that were previously too cold to farm.
I don't know if there will be democracies left - maybe, or maybe they will re-emerge.
That's highly speculative of course. There are many other possibilities.
There is no communication with the earth stations that sent you out into this survival capsule.
Problem.
How do we solve this problem?
The few who survived this disaster now believe it was caused by the eco-terrorists who were in a conspiracy with some kind of bankers who wished to ruin the world evidently.
Too many aspects of this imagining demands suspension of believe.
It seems along the lines of musing about people inhabiting Mars, for me.
Can't get eyes off of what's happening to our planet, to have much room for such.
Unfortunately still 5% of the population are deplorable authoritarians.
Most of the northern hemisphere is rendered uninhabitable due to radiation levels due to the war in 2300.
So how do they find some place to land on with the several craft they have on board the survival ship?
Further more just how does Kurt, Chuck, Bruce, Xclon and Maluc actually work this out?
Translation of names Chuck usa, Bruce Au, Scion china, maluc Iran.
On landing finding are.
Hell these people are living off the land no evidence of advancement what so ever.
I see Kurt - I think oh Kurt Russell, read, another worth missing hollywood flic.
Is that it, do I get the boogie prize, or is it something deeper?
For that check out what I think is one great little video about the history of oil development. Start at about 59:00 until about 1:08, last few minutes being the most relevant when it comes to providing a crystal ball to our planet's future. Although the story continues and during 1:10:~~ there's another reality check. A documentary worth watching for sure.
Humanity as such continues to survive and, at times, thrive with a technological level that's a blend of pre-Industrial-Revolution technology and post-current-day knowledge. A higher tech than was found during the Middle Ages, but it's stuck there without a path to advance further due to the depletion of the world's resources. Life goes on, even if it's different.
Perhaps the idea of a nuclear war in 2300 was dumb, however other than that frankly I do not see any other way that the present system of society can survive for the next 380 plus years.
Think about it a 60 meter rise in sea level that is going to wipe out a heap of capital value.
Do you think this will not result in a war?
So discount the nuclear war now we have upwards of 20 billion people on the planet.
Not sustainable I think those people in the survival craft have to make a decision big time.
Where do they find a place that is half way habitable with Cat. 6 Cyclones now the normal for over 5 months of the year.
Besides of which which part of the planet is in any way going to welcome them?
True. But Melwater Pulses 1-A, B & C all involved SLR of ~4-5 meters per century, & there may have been a similar burst of SLR toward the end of the Eemian ~119 K yrs ago, when ice sheets were smaller than today.
Solid to liquid phase transitions of water require a lot of energy, but anthropogenic forcings are considerably stronger than natural forcings. Given how heat is convected around the oceans, a large percentage of the solar energy falling on the Earth could go into melting ice. Temperatures might stabilise, but ice sheet break-up could be even faster than it was in the past, when there were only natural forcings. Needless to say, it would be chaotic & incredibly destructive, likely the worst thing to happen to humans since the Toba eruption ~74 K yrs ago.
P.S. I only dicovered Variable Variability recently. Great blog, very insightful.