In the midst of the ongoing disaster in the southeast, Dr. Roy Spencer has some comforting words.
To those of you who have had to evacuate, or are attempting to hunker down and weather the storm (please be safe), take solace in the fact that the hurricane "drought" continues unabated!
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2016/10/4001-days-the-major-hurricane-drought-continues/You see, this hurricane has not yet met the technical definition of landfall, which is the center of the eye crossing into land. So per Spencer's defined criteria, Matthew doesn't count.
Never mind that what's happening now is WORSE than landfall, because the hurricane is inflicting damage along a much greater stretch of shore due since it's staying over water, which is its source of energy. Over land, it would quickly dissipate into a mere rain event.
That's why superstorm Sandy, and Matthew, well they simply don't count. Just ignore all the damage they've caused-- it means nothing.
Getting around, etiquette, guidelines and terms of use.
Comments
waves hands slowly
"this is not the hurricane you are looking for"
Insane is as insane does.
keeps record of how many false hurricane warnings have been given?
Spencer makes it sound like it's regular thing.
http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/07/getting-matthew-wrong/
The problem with a lot of science deniers is that they suffer binary thinking. They think that if the eye of a hurricane doesn't cross the coastline then there was no hurricane. They think that what they call an eleven year drought means that there haven't been any hurricanes in the Atlantic.
This time the predicted path was virtually identical to what has happened. Some early forecasts indicated the hurricane would move east (off the coast) sooner than it has, and not go as far up the coast (to South Carolina) like it is. But overall the forecast track was very close to what is happening.
1. ETCs get their energy from cold air above, while TCs get their energy from warm water below. This means different structures.
2. ETCs tend to be less well-organized, with lower pressures & slower winds than TCs.
3. ETCs can be much larger than TCs.
4. ETCs tend to occur slightly later in the season.
Sandy resembled the Perfect Storm of 1991 & an unnamed storm in November 1950, but it was larger & more powerful than both, the largest, most powerful storm OF ITS TYPE to ever hit the US (according to Louis Uccellini, the head of the NWS). Calling it insignificant because it was "only a category 1" is disingenuous in the extreme. Spencer HAS to know these things, HAS to know the differences between ETCs & TCs. He's just LYING (AGAIN). He should be ashamed of himself (AGAIN).
This is something from Hong Kong that explains some of the differences:
http://www.hko.gov.hk/education/edu01met/01met_tropical_cyclones/ele_typhoon3_e.htm